The Wright-Fisher Diffusion Process and an Application to Queues and Bacterial Recombination
In this talk, I will develop, using a duality argument, an identity stating that the Laplace transform of the length of a contiguous bacterial recombination region equals the probability of choosing a given allele in a stationary population evolving according to the one-dimensional Wright-Fisher diffusion model. Beyond giving us an improved inferential strategy for parameter estimation in bacterial recombination, the matching of the selection and recombination parameters in the identity also suggests the existence of an intriguing connection between ancestral recombination graphs and ancestral selection graphs. This work is joint with Xavier Didelot of Warwick University and Jay Taylor of the University of Oxford.

